Live betting cheat sheet — upsets var week
-
Live-Betting Cheat Sheet — Upsets & VAR Week
Context: Early group stage = momentum swings + long stoppages.
Fast angles- Bounce-back favorite (off home L): watch first 15’ tempo → Live O0.5 HT if PPDA spikes.
- Elite 9s vs. high press: Shots on Target (Kane/Mbappé) > Anytime scorer.
- VAR-heavy crews: Late Goals & Cards (80’–FT) get juice with added time.
Signals to pull trigger - xG delta ≥ +0.6 in first 25’ without goal.
- Press height > 45m and keeper long balls ↑.
- Fresh attacking subs before 70’.
Markets I’ll scout on 1win - Live totals (O1.5/O2.5) after momentum swings.
- SoT ladders for star forwards.
- 80’–FT goal/corners, Over cards when heatmap stays red.
Your turn: Drop your favorite live cue (stat or eye test) and the exact market you’d hit next matchweek.